Backing founders building — from idea to category — across AI and the compute economy.

Market MapsView all →

Latest WritingView all →

Claude isn't eating vertical apps. It's flooding them. Vertical SaaS startups are some of its biggest customers. Claude is incentivized to automate so much of the underlying workflow that every vertical is saturated with startups built on Claude. Voice agents for the trades was
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May 17, 2026
Dinner w/ Harvard founders ('17-'25) last night, 43% use only Claude; 29% use only Cursor, rest on Claude + Codex. Hottest take at the table: strong IPOs will let labs overextend. Public market pressure will force them to increase cost of tokens, leading to a "correction".
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May 15, 2026
Unique analogy from a founder: AI coding is stuck at Level 2 automation: impressive enough that devs stop checking, not reliable enough to stop checking. The same trap that plagued early self-driving. Self-driving is now at Level 4. What level are we striving for in software dev?
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Apr 1, 2026
341K companies. $1.9T in IT spend managed. 1 Accenture. Others found a niche and never left. Picking the right wedge in AI IT services has never mattered more. https://t.co/pEOzRzU4z2
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Mar 31, 2026
Enterprises spent a decade consolidating their data. Then they adopted a dozen AI tools in 12 months and fragmented it all over again. The rebundling has begun...and the frontrunners are selling unified platforms to the C-suite, not point solutions to departments.
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Mar 28, 2026

LibraryView all →

The ten books I keep coming back to, plus the latest ones I've written up.

#1The Power LawSebastian Mallaby · 2022

A sweeping history of venture capital and the outsized returns a few bets generate.

Why it's here: The clearest articulation of why the job is about asymmetric upside, not avoiding losses.

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Latest reviews

Most recent first.
The Power Law
Reviewed · May 20, 2026
The Power Law
Sebastian Mallaby · 2022

A sweeping history of venture capital and the outsized returns a few bets generate.

The clearest articulation of why the job is about asymmetric upside, not avoiding losses.

View review →
The Cold Start
Reviewed · Apr 10, 2026
The Cold Start Problem
Andrew Chen · 2021

How network-effect products get past zero and reach escape velocity.

My go-to reference when a founder is reasoning about early liquidity and atomic networks.

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Chip War
Reviewed · Mar 15, 2026
Chip War
Chris Miller · 2022

The geopolitical history of the semiconductor and why it rules the modern economy.

Essential context for everything I'm mapping in the compute economy.

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Founder ResourcesView all →

Public picks I share with founders, plus a private Notion library available on request.

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